The Constituencies where a Campaign for Forest Rights could have an Impact: 2019

In tables, the study shows where the Constituencies where a Campaign for Forest Rights could impact. The earlier part of this series revealed how an analytical study by Community Forest resource-Learning and Advocacy Network shows how the forest and land rights of India’s 200 million forest dwellers, could be, if made into a vibrant election issue, become a deciding factor in how a fourth, i.e. 25 per cent (133 of 543) constituencies vote in the coming general election.


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Which are the regions areas and constituencies where this issue could seriously impact.

Critical Value Constituencies

Definition: These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where more than 60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.
 

StatePC NamePC Typewinner Party 2014Losing Party 2014Margin 2014Voters eligible for FRA rights% total voters eligible of FRA rightsMinimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
ChhattisgarhBastar(ST)BJPINC12435990481870%725647
ChhattisgarhKanker(ST)BJPINC3515871292449%246280
ChhattisgarhRaigarh(ST)BJPINC21675070315543%126069
ChhattisgarhSurguja(ST)BJPINC14723679437652%247558
GujaratChhota Udaipur(ST)BJPINC17972946390830%96257
GujaratDahod(ST)BJPINC23035479161856%94837
GujaratValsad(ST)BJPINC20800462290741%194805
JharkhandChatraGENBJPINC17802686131866%370775
JharkhandKhunti(ST)BJPJKP9224874278067%191566
JharkhandLohardaga(ST)BJPINC648966376459%176987
Madhya PradeshBetul(ST)BJPINC32861465944241%201742
Madhya PradeshMandla(ST)BJPINC110469113636162%188983
Madhya PradeshRatlam(ST)BJPINC10844755275632%105582
Madhya PradeshShahdol(ST)BJPINC24130178198250%396903
MaharashtraDindori(ST)BJPNCP24761968804245%186735
MaharashtraGadchiroli-Chimur(ST)BJPINC23687098863867%692421
MaharashtraNandurbar(ST)BJPINC10690554811133%175803
MaharashtraPalghar(ST)BJPBVA23952059399538%163368
OdishaKandhamalSTBJDBJP29886877503668%241957
OdishaKeonjhar(ST)BJDBJP15731799474274%167873
OdishaKoraput(ST)BJDINC1932875007758%115199
OdishaMayurbhanj(ST)BJDBJP12286699909275%79657
OdishaNabarangpur(ST)BJDINC2042110681285%261603
OdishaSambalpurGENBJDBJP3057685836866%211220
OdishaSundargarh(ST)BJPBJD1882978679256%154775
RajasthanBanswara(ST)BJPINC9191678587346%159182
RajasthanUdaipur(ST)BJPINC23676291310450%297322
SikkimSikkimGENSDFSKM4174227019373%104211
TelanganaAdilabad(ST)TRSINC17129046438233%340501
TelanganaMahabubabad(ST)TRSINC3499247236634%312634
West BengalJhargram(ST)AITCCPM34788351588235%103705

 
High Value Constituencies

Definition: These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where between 50%-60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.
 

StatePC NamePC Typewinner Party 2014Losing Party 2014Margin 2014Voters eligible for FRA rights% total voters eligible of FRA rightsMinimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
APAraku(ST)YSRCTDP9139816953913%71391
ChhattisgarhKorbaGENBJPINC426575225753%300802
GujaratBardoli(ST)BJPINC12388432741020%121835
JharkhandDumka(ST)JMMBJP3903030456824%35939
JharkhandHazaribaghGENBJPINC15912880068753%208226
JharkhandKodarmaGENBJPCPI(ML)(L)9865486931653%171832
JharkhandPalamu(SC)BJPRJD26394295707258%260304
JharkhandRajmahal(ST)JMMBJP4133731736323%60818
KarnatakaBellary(ST)BJPINC8514434220523%85540
KarnatakaRaichur(ST)INCBJP149925102815%25821
MPDhar(ST)BJPINC10432845576627%126266
MPKhargone(ST)BJPINC25787948245728%91534
OdishaBargarhGENBJDBJP1117875201553%43639
OdishaBolangirGENBJDBJP10429992088659%90131
OdishaDhenkanalGENBJDBJP13734080091859%96254
OdishaKalahandiGENBJDBJP5634784283257%59048
RajasthanDausa(ST)BJPNPP4540438877326%122736
UttarakhandAlmora(SC)BJPINC9569072256458%280926
UttarakhandGarhwalGENBJPINC18452654018843%175792
UttarakhandTehriGarhwalGENBJPINC19250335308626%656194

 
Good Value Constituencies:

Non ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 30%-50% of the eligible voters in the constituency
 

StatePC NamePC Typewinner Party 2014Losing Party 2014Margin 2014Voters eligible for FRA rights% total voters eligible of FRA rightsMinimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
ChhattisgarhMahasamundGENBJPINC121750970634%127947
GujaratPanchmahalGENBJPINC17059663261040%75873
HPKangraGENBJPINC17007247298638%347773
HPMandiGENBJPINC3985644346139%506772
JharkhandGiridihGENBJPJMM4031358606739%113423
JharkhandSinghbhum(SC)BJPJBSP8752450770344%123779
KarnatakaBidarGENBJPINC9222259757937%44822
KarnatakaDakshina KannadaGENBJPINC14370957696637%141619
KarnatakaShimogaGENBJPINC36330548564931%254062
KarnatakaUdupiChikmagalurGENBJPINC18164345059432%204342
KarnatakaUttara KannadaGENBJPINC14070067693947%869255
KeralaAlathur(SC)CPMINC3731243720036%58756
KeralaPalakkadGENCPMSJ(D)10530043138436%84487
KeralaWayanadGENINCCPI2087058239747%127495
MPBalaghatGENBJPINC9604173730645%178035
MPChhindwaraGENINCBJP11653758743642%232452
MPDamohGENBJPINC21329958904036%145252
MPKhandwaGENBJPINC25971456311932%131256
MaharashtraAhmednagarGENBJPNCP20912264241738%78926
MaharashtraBaramatiGENNCPRSP6971968373838%77815
MaharashtraBhandara-GondiyaGENBJPNCP14925474905345%126163
MaharashtraMadhaGENNCPSWP2534452251430%44302
MaharashtraRaigadGENSHSNCP211050156533%117788
MaharashtraRamtek(SC)SHSINC17579155862533%95900
MaharashtraShirdi(SC)SHSINC19992246920732%75333
MaharashtraShirurGENSHSNCP30181456815131%69447
MaharashtraWardhaGENBJPINC21578356599236%62270
OdishaAskaGENBJDINC31199745014532%20747
OdishaBalasoreGENBJDBJP14182559777944%11985
OdishaBerhampurGENBJDINC12772043796933%91339
OdishaCuttackGENBJDINC30676245263533%33963
OdishaJajpur(SC)BJDINC32027152241840%32332
OdishaPuriGENBJDINC26336144388732%22739
RajasthanJhalawar-BaranGENBJPINC28154667433740%325712
West BengalPuruliaGENAITCAIFB15387759347440%45273

 
 
Medium Value Constituencies

Definition: Non ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 20%-30% of the eligible voters in the constituency
 

StatePC NamePC Typewinner Party 2014Losing Party 2014Margin 2014Voters eligible for FRA rights% total voters eligible of FRA rightsMinimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
Andhra PradeshHindupurGENTDPYSRC9732533687823%82407
Andhra PradeshNelloreGENYSRCTDP1347834181621%71387
Andhra PradeshRajampetGENYSRCBJP17476236186524%75217
Andhra PradeshTirupati(SC)YSRCBJP3742536616323%146896
BiharJamui(SC)LJPRJD8594736617124%83713
ChhattisgarhJanjgir-Champa(SC)BJPINC17496135794721%49337
ChhattisgarhRajnandgaonGENBJPINC23591137858724%121934
GujaratSabarkanthaGENBJPINC8445541924626%96464
HPHamirpurGENBJPINC9840331082525%68621
HPShimla(SC)BJPINC8418724029021%199157
JharkhandRanchiGENBJPINC19930345834728%85558
KeralaIdukkiGENINDINC5054233502129%228731
Madhya PradeshGunaGENINCBJP12079232963421%136827
Madhya PradeshKhajurahoGENBJPINC24749050351530%90828
Madhya PradeshSagarGENBJPINC12073737505125%113202
Madhya PradeshSatnaGENBJPINC868842527029%192760
Madhya PradeshTikamgarh(SC)BJPINC20873137129324%71544
Madhya PradeshVidishaGENBJPINC41069847819829%309175
MaharashtraBhiwandiGENBJPINC10945043874726%167106
MaharashtraChandrapurGENBJPINC23626945225826%168213
MaharashtraDhuleGENBJPINC13072348442029%118647
MaharashtraHingoliGENINCSHS163240537826%136603
MaharashtraJalnaGENBJPINC20679833592121%48180
MaharashtraRatnagiri-SindhudurgGENSHSINC15005128974121%56938
MaharashtraRaverGENBJPNCP31806834211221%48844
MaharashtraSangliGENBJPINC23929235364421%29644
MaharashtraSataraGENNCPIND36659446386527%105443
MaharashtraYavatmal-WashimGENSHSINC9381651473829%136243
RajasthanBharatpur(SC)BJPINC24546844655026%87530
RajasthanBhilwaraGENBJPINC24626447058127%127138
RajasthanChittorgarhGENBJPINC31685739007721%201878
RajasthanJaipur RuralGENBJPINC33289640903624%80168
RajasthanJalore(SC)BJPINC38114541692123%188201
RajasthanKarauli-Dholpur(SC)BJPINC2721639979626%225838
RajasthanKotaGENBJPINC20078235108420%203572
RajasthanTonk-SawaiMadhopurGENBJPINC13531136966522%115966
Tamil NaduDharmapuriGENPMKAIADMK7714637915028%182933
Tamil NaduKrishnagiriGENAIADMKDMK20659127853020%148844
TelanganaKhammamGENYSRCTDP1197429997421%175647
TelanganaMedakGENTRSINC36127731528721%54780
TelanganaNizamabadGENTRSINC16718430747421%90611
TelanganaZahirabadGENTRSINC14463137539826%84021
Uttar PradeshHamirpurGENBJPSP26678835289720%40312
Uttar PradeshJhansiGENBJPSP19046746585324%59338
Uttar PradeshRobertsganj(SC)BJPBSP19048647913429%142184
West BengalAlipurduars(SC)AITCRSP2139735215924%82179
West BengalBankuraGENAITCCPM9850632160121%52505

 
Also Read:
1. Why the Opposition Should Take the Campaign for Implementation of FRA 2006 Seriously
2. What the Campaign for Forest Rights (FRA 2006) Should Demand: Election 2019

Related Articles:
1. Tribal rights unions release charter of demands against the attack on FRA
2. Former civil servant offers a solution to protect ST’s and FRA, here’s what he suggests
 
 

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